On January 14, voters on the island will have the choice between incumbent Ma Ying-jeou of the Beijing-friendly Kuomintang (KMT), Tsai Ing-wen of the anti-unification opposition Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), and the People's First Party's (PFP) James Soong Chu-yu, who like Ma is pro-eventual unification but threatens to tap into Ma's voter base to the benefit of Tsai.
Results of opinion polls in Taiwan vary notoriously according to the pollsters' political biases. However, National Chengchi University's Exchange of Future Events, which doesn't ask people who they vote for but instead how much money they would bet on a certain outcome, on December 18 published its findings, according to which on average participants bet that Tsai can expect 51.9% of the votes, Ma 41.6% and Soong 8.6%. The exchange has a history of relatively high accuracy in previous elections.
Needless to say, Beijing dreads a Tsai win.
Sources:
Asia Times
Results of opinion polls in Taiwan vary notoriously according to the pollsters' political biases. However, National Chengchi University's Exchange of Future Events, which doesn't ask people who they vote for but instead how much money they would bet on a certain outcome, on December 18 published its findings, according to which on average participants bet that Tsai can expect 51.9% of the votes, Ma 41.6% and Soong 8.6%. The exchange has a history of relatively high accuracy in previous elections.
Needless to say, Beijing dreads a Tsai win.
Sources:
Asia Times
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